J.P.Morgan Investment Banking
PUBLIC MARKET OVERVIEW
Public market overview
Trading summary ($ millions, except per share data)
Closing share price (3/06/06)
52-week intraday high (12/19/05)
% of 52-week high
52-week intraday low (10/12/05)
% over 52-week low
Diluted shares (mm)
Equity value
Plus: Debt (as of 6/30/06)¹
Less: Cash (as of 6/30/06)
Firm value
Based on closing share price
Last 3 months
0.0% 0.0%
4.6%
94.8%
0.6%
$68.73
$70.28
6.6%
97.8%
$52.49
30.9%
$2,647
697
38.5
Last 6 months
30.0%
Trading summary
Firm value/EBITDA
(35)
$3,309 Long-term growth
< $50 $55 - $60 $60-$65 $65 - $70
$70+
1 Does not include non-recourse Palmilla and Reethi Rah debt of $164 million
2 1/B/E/S median estimates as of 3/06/06
JPMorgan
2006E
2007E
2008E
Price/Earnings
2006E
2007E
2008E
16.2%
47.0%
< $50 $55 - $60 $60-$65 $65 - $70
0.3%
$70+
Street
Metric² Multiple
$229
293
NM
$2.80
3.37
NM
5.1%
14.4x
11.3
Last 12 months
41.9%
NM
24.5x
20.4
20.0%
NM
Upside Case
Metric
$214
251
330
$2.78
2.73
4.13
27.3% 25.5%
< $50 $55 - $60 $60 - $65 $65 - $70
Multiple
15.5x
13.2
10.0
24.7x
25.2
16.7
0.1%
$70+
PROJECT PLATO 4View entire presentation