2022 Budget Sensitivities and Financial Projections
RNG Demand Markets Provide Diversification
Plan to mitigate exposure to RIN volatility through fixed price contracts in the voluntary market
REVENUE EXAMPLE
$ per mmbtu
KINDER MORGAN
(a)
RIN value $40.46
D3 RINs can
also satisfy
D5 & D6
obligations
revenues must meet or exceed
traditional hurdle rates
HH spot price $7.24
transportation market
RNG-based CNG & LNG is advantageous for fleets
Fleets are interested in RNG to meet emission reduction targets
GHG emissions up to 75% less than diesel
CNG vehicles are more efficient than electric vehicles for heavy & mid duty fleets looking to
decarbonize
RIN credits can be earned for RNG volumes used in the transportation market
Drives the margin for RNG producers
RFS-obligated parties (like refiners) purchase RINs to comply with RFS requirements
EPA considering creating eRINs to incentivize RNG used for electricity that charges
electric vehicles
Could create additional RNG demand and another avenue to capture RIN margin
voluntary market
LDCs, utilities, universities, industrial
All active in the voluntary market today
Showing increasing interest in RNG as they look to meet their
emission reduction targets
Pay premium for RNG
Due to absence of subsidy for producers
Pricing is lower than current RINS value but terms are generally fixed
for 10+ years
a) $3.45 D3 RIN price (per Starfuels Brokerage via Bloomberg) multiplied by 11.727 to convert to $/mmbtu. Pricing as of 4/29/2022.
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