Investor Presentaiton
Sound fundamentals for the banking business
Relatively strong labour market
Unemployment rate
-
2020 H1
Capitalisation and Funding - the Polish banking sector
3.0%
2.6%
4.8%
4.4%
TCR & Tier 1 ratio
Tier 1 ratio
Loan-to-deposit ratio
7.8%
7.1%
6.6%
Tier 2
17.7
19.0 19.1 19.1
18.3
95.7% 94.8% 92.4% 90.2%
16.3
81.5%
15.0% 16.1 17.2 17.2 17.0 16.3
Poland Czech Hungary Bulgaria Slovakia EU-28
Republic
Euro area
Source: Eurostat
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
2016 2017 2018 2019
31
Q1
May
2020
Interest rate disparities (v. Germany, in basis points) are narrower
PLN: the worst is over
400
4,7
350
4,5
300
4,3
250
4,1
200
3,9
150
3,7
100
3,5-
50
3,3
01/15 07/15 01/16 07/16 01/17 07/17 01/18 07/18 01/19 07/19 01/20 07/20
⚫2Y
5Y
10Y
Interest rate cuts along with QE launched by the NBP allowed for a massive
drop in government bonds yields. Credit risk settled on lower levels (as
expected). Interest rates to stay low for some time..
01/15 07/15 01/16 07/16 01/17 07/17 01/18 07/18 01/19 07/19 01/20 07/20
CHF/PLN
COVID-19 shock triggered fast depreciation of all EM currencies. After the
initial increase EUR/PLN settled on lower levels. Return to growth will be
beneficial for PLN, along with Next Generation EU transfers.
EUR/PLN
⚫USD/PLN
m
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg
Covered
mGroup
bonds
Cover
Pool
Polish
Economy
Real Estate
Market
Legislation
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