HY23 Interim Results Announcement
Irish economy growing; UK moderating
Shifting interest rate and inflation expectations
Ireland1
Bank of Ireland
Irish macro backdrop remains supportive; Irish GDP expected to
outperform EU by c.9ppts (cumulative) over 2023-2025²
5.0%
2.9%
3.90%
2.2%
Ireland
UK
3.19%
3.37%
2.83%
Unemployment
3.8% (June 2023)
4.0% (May 2023)
2.80%
2.71%
GDP (2023 expected)
5.4%
0.0%
2023
2024
2025
ECB deposit rate forecast (as at Dec 2022)
ECB deposit rate forecast (as at July 2023)
Inflation (annual average)
House prices y/y
2.4% (May 2023)
1.9% (May 2023)
6.9%
5.83%
UK1
2.8%
5.32%
4.62%
2023
4.05%
1.3%
4.61%
3.83%
2024
2025
BOE base rate forecast (as at July 2023)
Inflation (annual average)
BOE base rate forecast (as at Dec 2022)
Geographically diversified balance sheet³
€49bn
(Customer Loans)
€25bn
(Customer Loans)
1 Sources: ECB/BOE rate forecasts refer to year end rates derived from market pricing; inflation and GDP forecasts from external forecast consensus including CBol, Department of Finance, ESRI in Q2 2023
2 IMF World Economic Outlook April 2023
3 Loan assets based on geographic location of customer
€42bn
(Wealth and Insurance AUM)
€7bn
(Customer Loans)
6View entire presentation