Bank of Georgia Financial Analysis
70%
50%
30%
10%
-10%
-30%
Jan-03
Sep-03
Source: NBG
3.5
1.4
1.3
1.3
3.0
1.1
1.2
1.2 1.2
1.3
1.4 1.3
1.6
160
12
1.4
1.2
1.2
1.2
150
2.5
7.0
2.8
0.9
2.9 2.8
1.0
1.2
2.7
140
2.5
3.3
1.0
2.0
2.3
3.0
130
2.1
2.8
0.8
1.5
120
1.5
0.6
1.0
1.4
110
0.4
0.9
100
0.5
0.2 0.4 0.5
0.2
06
0.0
0.0
FLOATING EXCHANGE RATE - POLICY PRIORITY
FX reserves
Nominal and Real effective exchange rate
(Jan2003-100)
Official FX reserves, US$ bn
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
M2 and annual inflation
May-04
Dec-04
Aug-05
Apr-06
Dec-06
Aug-07
Apr-08
Dec-08
Aug-09
Apr-10
Dec-10
Aug-11
Apr-12
Dec-12
BANK OF GEORGIA
-M2, % change, y/y (LHS)
-M2 multiplier
2018
Source: NBG
80%
15%
60%
12%
40%
9%
20%
6%
0%
3%
-20%
0%
-3%
-40%
-6%
-60%
Annual inflation, eop (RHS)
Aug-13
3 Apr-
Apr-14
Dec-14
Aug-15
Apr-16
Dec-16
Aug-17
Apr-18
Dec-18
Jan-03
Sep-03
May-04
Dec-04
Aug-05
Apr-06
Dec-08
-M2, % change, y/y (LHS)
Jan-03
Sep-03
May-04
Dec-04
Aug-05
Apr-06
Dec-06
Aug-07
Apr-08
Dec-08
Aug-09
Aug-09
Real effective exchange rate
Apr-10
Dec-10
Aug-11
Apr-12
Dec-12
Aug-13
Apr-14
Dec-14
Aug-15
Apr-16
M2 and USD/GEL
Aug-09
Apr-10
Dec-10
Aug-11
Apr-12
Apr-12
Dec-12
Aug-13
Aug-15
Apr-14
Apr-14
depreciation
appreciation
Dec-14
Aug-15
Aug-15
Apr-16
Dec-16
Aug-17
GEL/USD, % change (RHS)
Dec-16
Nominal effective exchange rate
Source: NBG
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
Apr-18
Dec-18
49
49
-30%
Source: NBG
160
150
140
130
120
110
100
90
Aug-17
Apr-18
Dec-18View entire presentation