Investor Presentaiton
PRECIPITATION FORECAST (IRI-MODEL) FOR DECEMBER 2021-APRIL-2022
IRI Multi-Model Probability Forecast for Precipitation for
December-January-February 2022, Issued November 2021
80°N
<=
White indicates Climatological odds
indicates dry season (no forecast)
Precipitation Forecast (IRI-Model) for December 2021-April-2022
Global Circulation Models indicate week La-Niña conditions in the
equatorial Pacific Ocean and neutral Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) during
December-January-February.
IRI model suggests probability of:
•Below normal rainfall in some northern and western districts of
Balochistan, southern districts of KP and eastern districts of Punjab
during December 2021-February 2022.
•Above normal rainfall in most parts of Sindh, whereas eastern part of
Punjab will receive below normal rainfall during January-March 2022.
•Below normal rainfall in Balochistan districts bordering with
Afghanistan during February-April.
70'N
60°N
50'N
40°N
30°N
20'N
10°N
•The deficiency in rainfall will cause water stress for Rabi (winter
season) crops, particularly in rain-fed areas.
•Prolong smoggy and foggy conditions in plain and urban areas.
•Enhanced concentration of urban pollution during dry winter months.
10'S
50°E
60°E
70'E
80°E 90'E 100°E 110°E 120°E 130°E 140°E 150°E
Probability (%) of Most Likely Category
Below Normal
Normal
Above Normal
160*E
170*E
40
45 50 60 70+
40+
40 45 50 60 70+
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