Investor Presentaiton
Macro context | Long runway for growth underpinned by data
4G penetration
Smartphone penetration
GDP Growth rate
Inflation rate
86%
82%
78%
4,0%
73%
64%
20,0%
2,0%
0,0%
49%
15,0%
10,0%
39%
-2,0%
5,0%
0,0%
Q1-16
Q3-16
Q1-17
Q3-17
Q1-18
Q3-18
Q1-19
Q3-19
31%
-4,0%
26% 24%
65%
62%
53%
46%
34%
21%
12%
7%
3%
0%
-6,0%
-8,0%
Q1-20
Q3-20
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Key macro highlights
•
•
Stronger oil price supports economic recovery,
growth outlook sustained by the non-oil sector
Rising oil prices also ease pressure on foreign
reserves and FX liquidity challenges
Accommodative monetary policy stance aimed at
bolstering economic recovery amid tight liquidity
•
.
•
•
Key industry highlights
Huge demographic opportunity with population of >200m
Stable voice tariff (price floor) supports voice revenue, from subscriber and usage growth
Low data & smartphone penetration | Opportunity for sustained data revenue growth
National roaming guidelines provide wholesale opportunities to monetise network assets
New SIM registration requirements ensure quality of subscriber records and sustainability of the industry
Source: World Bank, National Bureau of Statistics, Central Bank of Nigeria, Nigerian Communications Commission, Bloomberg
*5-year average
4
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