Investor Presentaiton
Ghana Maintains Tight Monetary Policy Stance
From H2-2015, Cedi began stabilizing and falling back into sustainable band as seasonal pressures
subside, inflows increase and policy actions take effect
--GHS: USD (period end)
GHS-USD
3.79
5.0
3.00
4.5
2.20
4.0
1.88
1.43
1.47 1.55
3.5
1.22
0.97
3.0
2.5
2.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
May-16
Cedi depreciation combined with fuel and utility price adjustments pushed inflation out of target band.
However, tight policy stance, reduced FX volatility and lower fuel prices stabilized inflation outlook
Combined
-Food
MPR
Non Food
Feb 2014: MPR
raised to 18.0%
Sept 2014: MPR
raised to 19.0%
Nov 2014: MPR
raised to 21.0%
May 2015: MPR
raised to 22.0%
July 2015: MPR
raised to 24.0%
Sept 2015: MPR
raised to 25.0%
Nov 2015: MPR
raised to 26.0%
30
25
25
20
15
10
13.5 13.8 14.0 14.5 14.7 14.8 15.0 15.3 15.9 16.5 16.9 17.0 17.0 16.4 16.5 16.6 16.8 16.9 17.1 17.9 17.3 17.4 17.4 17.6 17.7
5
7.1 7.5
8.2
7.0
0
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
19.0 18.5 19.2 18.7
5.0 5.1 5.8 6.5 6.6 6.8 6.9 7.0 7.2 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.6 7.7 7.8 7.8 7.9 8.0 8.2 8.3 8.3 8.4
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Apr-16
From H2-2015 Cedi stabilized as
FX inflows boosted reserves and
investor confidence improved
due to:
Success of US$1bn IDA
guaranteed bond
Inflows from donor partners
Cocoa sales inflows
IMF Balance of Payments
support inflows
Monetary policy tools have also
been employed to quell Cedi
depreciation and the
concomitant impact on inflation:
MPR raised to 26.00% in
November 2015
Cash Reserve at 10.00% from
11.00%
Net open position of banks
lowered on both single currency
and aggregate currency basis
Bank of Ghana to stop financing
government in 2016
2-yr note opened to foreign
investors
Tighter customs operations and
tariff valuation
IMF policy support
Source: Bank of Ghana
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