Three-Year Recovery Plan

Total Population Vaccine supply and uptake suggests 80% threshold to be reached by December 2021 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Aug-2021 Sep-2021 Potential Australia Vaccination Timing¹ Oct-2021 Nov-2021 Dec-2021 Supply Australia's Current Take-up Rate Canada Profile UK Profile 80% Eligible 70% Eligible • • Sufficient vaccine dosages available by early October to achieve 80% of eligible Australians vaccinated; supply ramping up from September 2021 Based on current rate of uptake and global benchmarks, Australia should hit national thresholds² for reopening in December 2021: Phase B threshold of 70% vaccination of eligible population - eased restrictions on vaccinated residents, lockdowns less likely but possible Phase C threshold of 80% vaccination of eligible population highly targeted domestic lockdowns only and trigger for gradual opening of international borders to approved countries. Proportionate quarantine and reduced requirements for inbound vaccinated travellers - Thresholds can be achieved earlier if uptake accelerates to Canadian profile As evidenced globally, vaccination rates can also be influenced further by incentive levers 100 1. International profiles source: https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations. Australian current take-up rate source: https://covidlive.com.au/vaccinations. Supply is based on Doherty Institute modelling and Australian Federal Government announcements. All data as at 22 August 2021. 2. Thresholds specified in the National Plan to transition Australia's National COVID-19 Response. Announced by the Australian Government on 2 July 2021. 128

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