H1 FY21 Finance and Cost Analysis
EARNINGS SENSITIVITIES
EIII
SOUTH32
EBIT impact +/- 10%
Annualised estimated impact on FY21e Underlying EBIT of a 10% change in commodity prices or currency(a)
US$M
Aluminium (b)
185
Alumina (b)
146
Manganese ore (c)
Metallurgical coal
Nickel
Silver
Energy coal (d)
Lead
Zinc
Australian dollar
South African rand
Colombian peso
Brazilian real
86
67
43
34
31
22
15
180
117
19
8
Notes:
a.
b.
C.
The sensitivities reflect the annualised estimated impact on FY21e Underlying EBIT of a 10% movement in H1 FY21 actual realised prices and H1 FY21 actual average exchange rates (weakening currency)
applied to FY21e volumes and costs.
Aluminium sensitivity includes a one month LME price-linked electricity cost impact for Hillside Aluminium but ignores the Group consolidation impact of inter-company alumina sold on index. Aluminium
sensitivity is shown without any associated increase in alumina pricing.
The sensitivity impacts for manganese ore are on a pre-tax basis. The Group's Manganese operations are reported as EAI. As a result, the Profit after taxation for Manganese is included in the Underlying
EBIT of South32.
d.
Includes South Africa Energy Coal for 9 months to 31 March 2021.
SLIDE 33View entire presentation