Investor Presentaiton
2
Expectation of a recovery in 2021
2020 GDP estimate
% y/y (nsa), % q/q (sa)
GDP*
% y/y (nsa), % q/q (sa)
2020-2021 GDP estimates
% y/y
% y/y
1Q20 2Q20 | 3Q20 | 4Q20
2020
GDP
-5.4
15.5 5.2
3.2
1255
20
15.5
15
4.1
12.1
10
Consumption
-6.9
19.2 9.5
7.1
6.5
5
Investment
-12.8 24.1 8.9
3.4
4.3
2020
2021
Banorte
-9.0
4.1
15.2
Enc. Citibanamex
-9.0
3.5
3.2
0.5
0.8 0.7 1.0 0.6
Enc. Banxico
-9.0
3.4
1.2
Government
spending
-3.7 -2.3
-2.6
1.5
-1.8
-5
SHCP
-8.0
4.6
-1.4 -17.0
-5.4
-10
-7.4
8.6
Banxico
-8.9
3.3
Exports
-2.8 31.9
5.4
2.8
7.7
-15
Imports
-7.0 25.3
17.6
9.5
10.2
-20
-18.7
% 9/9
-25
GDP
0.8
0.7
1.0
0.6
1Q20
2Q20
3Q20
4Q20
1Q21
2Q21
3Q21
4Q21
1% q/q
IMEF
% y/y
Bloomberg
-9.0
3.5
Reuters
-9.9
3.0
-9.0
3.5
*Note: Dotted lines indicate forecasts
Source: INEGI, Banorte
Eco
Hist
DB NIM
Rev C/I NI
Div ROE
LD Dep Loan ICAP BAP Guid
Mkt
App
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