Economic Outlook and Trade Analysis

MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS Debt to GDP Fiscal Deficit Sovereign bonds 10yr Exchange Overnight Rate Inflation Rate México US México US México US México US México US MXN/USD 1994 57% 60% -6.4% -1.6% 7.8% 5.5% 2.7% 3.38 2004 24% 65% -0.9% -5.1% 10.3% 4.2% 8.5% 2.3% 5.2% 3.3% 11.28 2015 47% 104% -3.0% -2.5% 6.2% 2.3% 3.3% 0.5% 2.1% 0.7% 15.87 2030e 45% 100% -2.5% -2.5% 8.0% 4.5% 5.0% 3.0% 3.0% 2.0% 25.00 Scotia Wealth Management™ Source: Prepared by SWM using data from Banco de México, Bloomberg and the Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2015.

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