Investor Presentaiton
Heavy commercial truck sales bounce back during 2021E
-
semiconductor supply shortage potentially impacting outlook in 2022E
Heavy truck sales in key markets 2016A-2025E (units, k)
500
450
27%
30%
22%
10%
7%
400
9%
350
2%
300
8%
6%
250
200
150
-22%
-18%
30%
20%
-20%
Outlook for heavy truck sales in 2021 increased
compared with the previous assumptions
Double-digit growth in the European truck market in
the first half of 2021, however compared with historic
low volumes reached in the corresponding period of
2020
• Truck demand continues its V-shaped bounce in
Americas with forecasts revised upward again for the
US reflecting improved economic outlooks and
additional stimulus and strength in building. Demand
likely to return to more balanced state during 2022 &
2023
7%
10%
1%
4%
0%
1%
2%
0%
-10%
-19%
100
-30%
2016A
2017A 2018A
2019A
2020A 2021E 2022E
2023E
2024E
2025E
AMER
EMEA
y/y %-change (AMER)
y/y %-change (EMEA)
Chip shortage might push
'21/22 sales to the right
CARGOTEC
Note: Heavy trucks including GVW rating of >15T heavy trucks.
Investor presentation
November 2021
92
Source: IHS Markit Medium Heavy Commercial Vehicle Industry Forecast Q3/2021View entire presentation