Fiscal and Loan Portfolio Analysis slide image

Fiscal and Loan Portfolio Analysis

Public debt Georgia's economy is quite unleveraged compared to other emerging market economies Georgia's public debt is 28.5% of GDP in 2008 down from 56% in 2003 Paris club rescheduling in 2001 and 2004 The external debt is all multilateral or bilateral and significant share is highly concessional This explains why the government debt service burden is low Eurobonds debut issuance of US$500 mln in April 2008, maturity date 2013 Breakdown of public debt US$ billion 5.0 60.0% 4.5 4.0 50.5% 40.0% 3.5 50.0% 1.00 40.0% 0.97 3.0 32.0% 2.5 25.5% 30.0% 0.83 35.6% 0.85 0.85 2.0 0.89 28.5% 3.38 20.0% 1.5 2.68 1.0 1.86 1.73 1.7 1.79 10.0% 0.5 0.0 0.0% 2004A 2005A 2006A 2007 A 2008A 2009F External public debt Internal public debt Total public debt as % of GDP External public debt service US$ mln Source: "The Georgian Economy Overview", Government of Georgia Presentation, December 2009. General government debt as % of GDP, Q1'09 Kazakhstan 200 8.8% 180 10 140 160 10.0% Russia 9.0% Estonia 7.3% 7.1% 8.0% Bulgaria Czech Republic 7.0% Slovak Republic 5.5% 120 6.0% Belarus 100 880 5.0% Lithuania 173.3 Ukraine 4.0% 152.2 3.4% 2.9% Turkey 60 110.6 103.8 40 20 0 2004A 3.0% 102.1 Armenia 118.7 2.0% Latvia 1.0% Poland Georgia 0.0% 2005 A 2006A 2007A 2008A 2009F Hungary 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% External debt service External debt service as % of budget revenue Source: "The Georgian Economy Overview", Government of Georgia Presentation, June 2009. Labkon BANK OF GEORGIA www.bog.ge/ir ■2008 Q1 '09 general government debt/2009F GDP Source: World Bank, International Monetary Fund March 2010 Page 17
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