Wholesale Banking Performance Analysis
Characteristics of the Australian Mortgage Market
▸ Solid population growth combined with an
insufficient expansion in Australia's dwelling
stock has led to a broad-based undersupply
of housing in most locations
▸ The latest NAB Australian Property Survey
indicates that overall demand for existing
property improved slightly in the March
quarter. Resident owner occupiers continue
to dominate the market for existing properties
- with investors shying away in the more
difficult economic climate - although there
was a small decrease in first home buyer
activity in the first quarter of 2012. Access
to credit, employment security and interest
rate uncertainty continue to be the biggest
impediments to demand side housing
credit growth
▸ Around 80% of Australian mortgages are at
variable rates, making the most common
mortgage rate very sensitive to changes in
monetary policy
Ratio of Dwellings to Resident Population
State average = 100
Index
Index
Queensland
New South Wales
Western Australia
102
102
100
Victoria
98
96
100
South Australia
98
Tasmania
96
1996
2002
2009
2000
2006
Sources: ABS; NAB
Most common mortgage interest rates
%
Australian standard variable rate
8
6
US 30-year fixed interest rate
2
%
8
6
2
117
0
0
2001
2005
2009
Sources: RBA; US Federal Reserve
National Australia BankView entire presentation