Investor Presentaiton
Turnaround Key Indicators and Timeline
Ghana's reform agenda and disciplined policy stance bears fruit, repositioning the economy on stronger trajectory
2012
Actual
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual*
2016
Target
Real GDP Growth (%)
9.3
7.3
4.0
3.9
5.4
Headline Inflation (period end %)
8.1
13.5
17.0
17.7
10.1
Fiscal Deficit (% GDP)
(11.5)
(10.1)
(10.3)
(6.7)
(5.3)
Primary Balance (% GDP)
(8.2)
(5.4)
(3.9)
(0.2)
1.3
Wage (% of Tax Revenue)
53.3
57.6
49.1
43.8
40.6
Wage Arrears Clearance (% of GDP)
2.5
1.1
0.5
0.6
0
Gross Public Debt (% GDP)
47.8
55.9
70.2
71.6
Interest Rate (91 Day T-Bill period end, %)
23.1
19.2
25.8
23.1
Current Account Balance (% GDP)
(11.8)
(11.7)
(9.5)
(7.8)
(7.4)
Gross Foreign Assets (US$ billion)
5.4
5.6
5.5
5.9
Gross Foreign Assets (Months of Import Cover)
2.9
3.1
3.5
3.0
Source: Ghana
2008
2009
2010
■ Ghana embarks on an ambitious program
to adjust its public sector wage structure
labelled Single Spine Salary Structure
(SSSS) review
■SSSS implementation undertaken from a
position of strength with record high
commodity prices, very high GDP growth
rates and subsidies under control
■ GDP rebasing and transition to Lower-
Middle Income Country (LMIC) status
■ IMF Programme ends
2011
2012
Wage and SSSS related arrears
combined with rising subsidy
expenditure, higher interest
payments, a shortfall in taxes.
and grants puts pressure on the
budget; resulting in large deficit
overshoots
■ Economic management was
further compounded by the onset
of external pressures
■ Crude oil export commences with
exports falling short of
expectations in 2012
2013
O Disruption in gas supply affects
power generation and fall in gold
and cocoa prices further
accentuates the twin deficits
■FX depreciation fuels inflation
■ Ghana implements and consults
AfDB on its "home-grown" fiscal
consolidation programme
■ US$ 1bn bullet Eurobond with
partial liability management of
Ghana 2017 Eurobond maturity to
reduce size to US$531mn
2014
Migrated over 99%
of public sector
workers onto the
new SSSS pay
structure, and paid
all of the arrears
owed to workers
■Commences IMF
negotiations
$1bn back-end
amortized bond to
mitigate roll-over
risk
2015
■ Ghana signs 3-Year
US$ 918mn ECF
Programme with IMF
with two (2) positive
reviews so far
■ Twin deficits brought
under control
■ Oil price crash
$1bn back-end
amortized bond with
$400mn World Bank
guarantee
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