Investor Presentaiton
Average annual growth of housing
stock per capita in sqm(2)
Czech Republic
0
2.0%
Poland
Latvia
Russia
1.5%
Bulgaria
Belarus
Slovakia
Ukraine
UK
France
⚫Japan
Denmark
Hungary
1.0%
Lithuania
SPB
Moscow
0.5%
Germany
Underpenetrated residential real estate market in Moscow and
St. Petersburg has great potential
Growth rate for Moscow and St. Petersburg housing stock over last 7 years
lags well behind other European countries, indicating huge potential for
growth
2.5%
Residential stock in Moscow is disproportionally low for the population's
disposable income levels
3,000
City / region
Population' 13 Cumulative
(mln)
growth'03-13
Monthly
disposable
Cumulative
growth'09-12
income' 12 (RUB)
(RUB)
Moscow
12.0
+16.6%
48,622
+52.2%
Moscow region
7.0
+6.6%
29,699
+55.9%
Moscow and region
19.0
+12.7%
41,858
+54.2%
(MMR)
SPB
5.0
+7.2%
27,795
+64.0%
SPB region
1.8
+4.7%
17,925
+55.0%
SPB and region (SSR)
6.8
+6.6%
25,414
+63.1%
Other regions with
13.9
Etalon sales offices (3)
(1.4%)
29,704
+41.7%
Russia
143.3
(1.6%)
23,058
+55.1%
2,500
Monthly gross disposable income per
capita (USD) in 2011(1)
0.0%
10
19.5
23.3
20
30
40
50
60
Housing stock per capita (sqm) in 2011(1)
Population growth in Moscow and StP has significantly outpaced delivery of
new housing stock, while disposable income growth has also outpaced real
estate prices, improving affordability and indicating significant potential
demand
41
46
51
36
Housing stock per capita (sqm) in 2011(1)
- Total housing stock (latest)
A-Potential housing stock
Mortgage to GDP ratio illustrates significant underpenetration and huge
potential for growth in demand supported by higher borrowing levels
Etalon Group
Mortgage/GDP (2011)
Saint
Petersburg
4.1%
Note: Average USD/RUB FX rates for 2011 and 2012: 29.4 and 31.1, accordingly; average EUR/USD FX rates for 2011 and 2012: 1.39 and 1.28, accordingly
(1) 2012 data applied for Moscow
(2) Based on 2005-2011 data for Russia, SPB and SSR; 2005-2012 for Moscow and MMR; for other countries - average growth rates for available periods
(3) Murmansk region, Krasnoyarsk region, Tyumen region, Khanty-Mansiyskiy autonomous district, Yakutia, Magadan region, Kamchatskiy krai, Khabarovkiy krai, Sakhalinsk region and Primorskiy krai
Source: Rosstat, AHML, UN, OECD, Eurostat, Helgi Library, World Bank, Turkish Statistical Institute, NBP, IRN, St. Petersburg Real Estate Bulletin
Etalon Group
Moscow 2.2%
2,000
231mln sqm
Gap: 184min sqm vs
New 13: 3.1mln sqm (59x)
415min sem
Moscow
1,500
120min sqm
1,000
SPB
Gap: 29mln sqm vs
New'13: 2.6mln sqm (12x)
149mln sqm
Czech Republic
Russia
Poland
Latvia
•Hungary
500
Bulgaria
⚫ China
0
16
21
26
31
Russia 2.9%
Turkey
5.5%
Czech
Republic
13.0%
Poland
19.6%
Italy
22.9%
Austria
27.8%
France
42.4%
Finland
42.7%
Germany
45.3%
Spain
62.1%
Norway
68.6%
USA
76.5%
Sweden
78.1%
UK
83.7%
Denmark
100.9%
39
39
Austria
France •
Finland
Germany
Denmark
Sweden
⚫ UKView entire presentation