3Q 2022 Results
4Q22 MODELING GUIDANCE
Maintaining Operational Discipline in Dynamic Macroeconomic Environment
Net Sales
Quarterly Operational Tax Rate
Net Income Attrib. to Non-Controlling Int.
Top-Line Ranges
(4Q22 vs. 3Q22)
Sales % A QoQ
Low
High
~$11.5 - $12.0B
Depreciation & Amortization
~$675MM
~29-33%
~$25MM
Net Interest Expense (Net of Int. Income)
Average Share Count
~$125MM
~715MM
Base Case Op. EBIT Drivers
(4Q22 vs. 3Q22)
Packaging &
-15%
-10%
Specialty Plastics
Industrial
Intermediates &
-10%
-5%
Infrastructure
Performance
-15%
-10%
Materials & Coatings
Corporate
■ Stable demand for consumables and food packaging, particularly in U.S. & Canada
■ Energy/feedstock volatility impacting consumer spending, primarily in Europe; demand seasonality (~$200MM headwind)
■ Lower planned maintenance activity (~$50MM tailwind)
■ Seasonal increase in deicing fluid demand; inflation impacting durable and construction demand, particularly in Europe
Propylene oxide and MEG margins impacted by increased supply from Asia (~$25MM headwind)
■ Lower planned maintenance activity (~$25MM tailwind)
■ Resilient demand for mobility and personal care applications; seasonality impacting demand for coatings
■ Increased industry siloxane supply in China and Asian acrylic monomer exports pressuring margins ($275MM headwind)
■Lower planned maintenance activity (~$25MM tailwind)
Sales of $50MM ■ Op. EBIT of $(75) MM and Op. EBITDA of $(65)MM
DOW
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