Australian Housing Dynamics and Affordability slide image

Australian Housing Dynamics and Affordability

COLLECTIVE PROVISION COLLECTIVE PROVISION BALANCE COLLECTIVE PROVISION CHARGE¹ $m AASB9 813 90 27 23 3,376 $m 1H19 2H19 FY19 CP charge 13 4 17 -79 -21 2,523 Volume/Mix -28 -51 -79 Change in Risk -40 19 -21 Economic outlook CP charge 17 73 17 90 sensitivity Other 8 19 22 27 Sep-18 Transition to AASB 9 Volume/ Mix Change Economic in Risk Outlook Sensitivity Other charge FX/Other B'sheet Sep-19 COLLECTIVE PROVISION BALANCE BY DIVISION ($m) AASB9 3,336 358 48 3,378 369 43 3,376 374 38 1,142 1,132 1,169 PROVISION BALANCE/COVERAGE RATIO BY STAGES ($m) AASB9 31 Mar-19 30 Sep-19 Coverage ratio by stage² Coverage ratio by stage² 1 0.19% 2 3.31% 3 20.76% 1 0.17% 2 2.40% 3 18.03% 1,788 Sep-18 AUS Insto. 1. 2. NZ Other 1,834 Mar-19 1,795 Sep-19 395 434 1,415 1,568 1,412 1,530 891 814 Stage 1 Stage 1 CP Stage 2 Stage 2 CP Stage 3 Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 3 CP Stage 3 IP Change in methodology introduced in 2H19 to measure components of CP charge Coverage ratio calculated as Provision Balance to Gross Loans & Advances for on-balance sheet exposures. Reduction in 2H19 stage 2 coverage ratio is a result of (a) Denominator effect: increased stage 2 GLA in Australian home loans due to implementation of a revised provisioning model plus higher delinquency levels, and (b) Numerator effect: stable stage 2 ECL with the home loan ECL increase offset by decreases for other Australian portfolios and Institutional ANZ 74
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