Investor Presentaiton
Georgian electricity market overview
Electricity supply and consumption, 2017
GWh
1,500
1,000
500
Source: ESCO
GWh
23,000
18,000
Actual and forecasted consumption
GEORGIA
CAPITAL
Consumption, 5%
6.1 TWh
2030
2029
2028
2027
2026
2025
2024
2023
Consumption, +5%
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Generation, forecast
2015
13,000
CAGR: 5.4%
8,000
3,000
Jan.
Feb.
Mar Apr May Jun
Jul Aug
Sep Oct Nov
Dec
Generation, renewables
Net imports
Generation, TPPS
Internal consumption
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Generation, actual
Electricity deficit during Sep-Apr
8-month PPA policy in place
18.8% of total consumption produced by gas-fired TPPS, 12.6% - imported (2017 data)
Distribution of windfarms annual generation¹
8% growth of internal consumption in 2017 (10% and 14% growth in Jul & Aug)
Consumption growth forecasted at minimum 5% CAGR in coming 15 years
Anticipated deficit of 6.1TWh by 2030
Import-export dynamics
GWh
1,600
1,200
9%
9%
8% 8%
9%
7%
7%
7%
9%
10%
9%
9%
800
484 450
400
% of annual output, WPPS
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Jul Aug
Sep Oct Nov Dec
1,497
793
699 660
686
559
545
479
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Import
Export
Compared to HPPS, wind power plants (WPPS) have more even distribution throughout the
year, adding more portion of output to domestic supply deficit
Merchant risk is c. 30% in May-Aug, as opposed to 48% on average in run-of-river HPPS
Note 1: Based on preliminary measurement of GGU windfarm locations
Import's share in domestic consumption has tripled in 2017 compared to 2016, as the yoy
growth in consumption was entirely supplied for by imports
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