Investor Presentaiton
250
300
EXTERNAL FEED MARKET OBSERVATIONS
INGHAM'S
Always Good
FEED COSTS HAVE INCREASED SUBSTANTIALLY DUE TO VOLATILITY IN INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
Delivered feed cost contains cereal grains, protein meals, vitamins and minerals. Feed cost also includes transport and milling cost
Grain imported into New Zealand operations is purchased from the international market
$A per metric tonne
500
Spot wheat priceĀ¹ & spot CME 1,2 soymeal futures (as observed by Ingham's)
800
1H23 P&L
750
450
Wheat
(A$)
400
700
650
800
1H23 P&L
700
600
Long term wheat & soymeal pricing 1,2
$A per metric tonne
Wheat ($A)
CME Soy ($A)
1H23 P&L
350
FY 20 Q1
FY 20 Q2
FY 20 Q3
FY 20 Q4
Wheat
Soymeal
FY 21 Q1
FY21 Q2
FY21 Q3
FY 21 Q4
FY 22 Q1
FY 22 Q2
FY 22 Q3
FY 22 Q4
FY 23 Q1
FY 23 Q2
600
CME Soy (A$)
550
500
450
400
FY 20 Q1
FY 20 Q2
FY 20 Q3
FY 20 Q4
FY21 Q1
FY 21 Q2
FY 21 Q3
FY 21 Q4
FY 22 Q1
FY 22 Q2
FY 22 Q3
FY 22 Q4
FY 23 Q1
FY 23 Q2
500
400
300
200
FY 14 Q1
FY 14 Q3
FY 15 Q1
FY 15 Q3
FY 16 Q1
FY 16 Q3
FY 17 Q1
FY 17 Q3
FY 18 Q1
FY 18 Q3
FY 19 Q1
FY 19 Q3
FY 20 Q1
FY 20 Q3
FY 21 Q1
FY 21 Q3
FY 22 Q1
FY 22 Q3
FY 23 Q1
Global supply remains tight. Despite the limited resumption of exports from Ukraine uncertainty surrounding trade flows from the Black Sea region remain
Dry seasonal conditions continue to negatively impact a number of key major wheat-exporting countries, such as Argentina and the United States
While wheat prices stabilised during 1H23, wheat pricing (in AUD terms) at the end of the half is observed as being 18.5% higher versus 2Q FY22
Extensive rains and flooding in Eastern Australian wheat growing areas only resulted in minor crop damage limiting price discounts for lower quality wheat
ABARES forecasting a new wheat production record of 36.6 million tonnes
Pricing remains elevated versus historical levels reflecting continuing poor growing conditions in North and South America; all-in costs have increased in AUD terms once higher freight and
logistics costs are included - CME pricing data does not include freight and logistics costs
Soybean pricing (spot CME in AUD terms) at the end of 1H FY23 is observed as being 24% higher versus the prior corresponding period - CME data above does not include transport and logistics costs
Demand is expected to remain strong in 2022-23
Quarterly spot price data is based on the average of daily observations during the period and is shown for illustrative purposes only. Ingham's actual consumption prices will differ due o the purchase of delivered grain/soymeal as well as level of forward cover of between 3 - 9 months.
Chicago Mercantile Exchange
1.
2.
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