2022 Annual Results
Forecast 2022/23 Season Farmgate Milk Price
Fonterra
Dairy for life
2020/2021
Season
2021/2022
Season
2022/2023
Season
Forecast
(US$/MT)
Forecast Farmgate Milk Price
$8.50 - $10.00
per kgMS
Midpoint of $9.25 per kgMS reflects:
o constrained supply as growth from key milk
producing regions expected to remain low
。 continuing strong underlying demand
The wide range reflects several risks, such as
COVID-19 and macroeconomic factors, including
global inflation, global economic growth and volatility
in foreign exchange markets
4,000
$7.54
3,000
31 May 20
$9.30
31 May 21
Reference product shipment price
$9.25
31 May 22
30 Nov 22
->
Reference contract product shipment price'
Average reference product shipment price for the season
Source: Global Dairy Trade. Data is up to GDT event 315 on 6 September 2022
1. Reference product shipment price is represented by a weighted average of the WMP, SMP, AMF and butter prices
2. The shipment price is a weighted average price of GDT contracts struck 1 to 5 months prior to the agreed shipment month. Shipment month is the month in which the sale would be deemed for financial reporting purposes to have been
completed, and will normally be the month in which the sale is invoiced and the product is shipped
3. The contracted shipment price is the weighted average shipment price of GDT contracts won 1 to 5 months prior on the GDT platform. These contracts are yet to be shipped or invoiced and the weighted average price will change closer to
the actual shipment date as new contracts are written
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