Nordea Kredit Performance Update
Housing markets
Rising interest rates is cooling off hot Nordic housing markets
Housing prices
40
Households' credit growth
250
250
15.0
15.0
Index, 2007=100
Housing prices
Index, 2007=100
% y/y
Households' credit growth
% y/y
3m moving average
12.5
12.5
225
225
Sweden
10.0
Norway
10.0
200
200
7.5
7.5
175
175
5.0
- 5.0
Sweden
Finland
Norway
2.5
2.5
150
150
0.0
0.0
Finland
125
125
Denmark
-2.5
-2.5
100
100
-5.0
-5.0
Denmark
75
75
-7.5
-7.5
07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
19 20 21 22
07
40
08 09 10
10
11 12 13 14 15 16 17
18 19 20 21 22
Source: Macrobond and Nordea
Source: Nordea Markets and Macrobond
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Housing prices increased to record-high levels in all the Nordic countries during the pandemic
However, with inflation and interest rates quickly increasing, there are now more downside risks to housing prices
These risks are especially pronounced in Sweden, and home prices are down 6% since March this year
Households' credit growth in the Nordic countries have continuously declined since April 2022 except for Denmark in July 2022.
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