Investor Presentaiton
Outlook
Portfolio outlook
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The Group is seeing strong trading into 1H24 with the Dual Brand strategy and
Loyalty membership base uniquely positioning the Group to navigate macro-
economic conditions
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Travel has remained a priority with intent to travel domestically 2x pre-COVID
levels and intent to travel internationally 60-80% above pre-COVID levels during
the last 12 months¹
Group Domestic leisure revenue intakes at 132% above pre-COVID levels²
Group Domestic business-purpose travel continuing to recover with Qantas
Domestic revenue intakes at 107% of pre-COVID levels², underpinned by resource.
strength and SME growth
Group International continuing to see strength underpinned by leisure, premium
cabin demand and some substitution from domestic to international as fares
moderate in line with capacity
The total international market capacity into Australia expected to restore to
pre-COVID levels by 4Q24
Qantas Loyalty on track to deliver FY24 EBIT target of $500 - 600m, six months
earlier than anticipated, Underlying EBIT >$500m expected for calendar year 2023
Remain committed to delivering FY24 targets (see slide 29)
Group financial outlook
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1H24 fuel cost expected to be $2.6b³ at current fuel prices
inclusive of hedging
The Group expects to recover recent increases in $A Jet fuel
price and maintains flexibility to adjust capacity settings
further
FY24 Depreciation and amortisation is expected to be $1.8b
FY24 Net finance costs are expected to be $0.23b
Approximately $400m in transitionary costs incurred in
FY23 to unwind in FY24
Targeting transformation of >$300m in FY24 to offset CPI
Net Debt expected to increase in FY24 but remain below the
bottom of the Net Debt Target Range
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The Net Debt Target Range is expected to increase as
Invested Capital rebuilds
1. Travel intentions based on Qantas monthly internal research in July 2023 of travel intentions for next 12 months, n=~1,000. 2. Compared to 2019 as a proxy for pre-COVID. Revenue intakes calculated on rolling 6-week average for the week
QANTAS GROUP ending 12 August 2023. 3. Fuel cost based on forecast consumption of ~14.8 million barrels (including SAF). Assumes 1H24 underlying into-plane market reference price of approximately A$173 per barrel. Expected fuel cost includes SAF
cost, and is net of hedging.
FY23 Results | 27View entire presentation