KASIKORNBANK Financial Overview
K
EXCELLENCE
Monthly Economic Conditions: May 2013
ธนาคารกสิกรไทย
开泰银行 KASIKORNBANK
Units: % over-year, otherwise indicated
2012
2013
2011
2012
3Q
4Q
1Q
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Private Consumption Index (PCI)
3.7
5.6
6.8
7.4
3.9
3.3
1.8
1.8
-0.2
Sales Volume of Benzene and Gasohol
Value-added Tax at 1995 prices
Imports of Consumer Goods at 1995 prices
-1.4
5.1
2.3
14.9
7.0
6.3
9.9
12.5
5.0
10.2
15.7
20.6
18.2
6.9
3.3
1.0
3.7
-1.6
13.6
10.0
11.1
13.8
9.1
2.4
-5.3 12.3
0.9
Passenger Car Sales
4.3
86.7
78.6
275.7
97.2
92.1
92.9
22.9
-5.8
Motorcycle Sales
7.4
6.1
-0.5
26.0
5.7
-0.5
0.1
7.3 -11.8
Private Investment Index (PII)
7.7
17.1
13.0
28.9
3.7
8.9
3.7
-0.9
-3.3
Domestic Sales Volume of Cement
4.6
11.6
14.2
20.6
16.1
14.9
17.4
9.5
11.8
Sales Volume of Commercial Cars
Imports of Capital Goods at 1995 prices
Value of BOI Applications
-4.4
75.4 53.4
227.2
19.4
14.0
11.6
26.5
-1.4
15.0
24.3
19.7
32.6
-2.3
-8.9 -13.1
-7.3 -12.0
54.5
128.4 88.4
203.1
28.7
21.4
56.2 280.9
2.4
Manufacturing Production Index
-8.7
2.5
-10.9
43.8
3.0
-1.3
0.9
-4.2
-7.8
Industrial Capacity Utilization
59.3
65.4
66.1
67.0
66.2
63.0
71.1
60.2
65.8
Agriculture Production Index
8.8
5.1
6.3
4.9
1.9
0.2
-0.7
-4.4
0.5
Agriculture Price Index
Exports (In terms of US Dollars)
12.1
-9.6
-9.8
-5.3
-4.0
-4.2
-4.1
-3.0
1.5
14.3
3.2
-3.0
18.2
4.5
-4.6
4.2
3.7
-5.1
Unit Value
5.6
Volume
8.3
63
0.6
-0.1
1.0
0.4
0.2
-0.1
-0.7
-0.4
2.6
-2.9
17.0
4.1
-4.8
4.3
4.4
-4.7
Imports (In terms of US Dollars)
24.9
7.8
-2.5
14.9
7.2
3.7
-12.3
8.5
-4.9
Unit Value
10.1
1.6
-0.5
-0.4
-1.8
-1.7
-2.6
-3.3
-3.4
Volume
13.4
6.1
-1.9
15.4
9.2
5.5
-10.0 12.1
-1.6
Trade Balance (USD millions)
Current Account (USD millions)
Headline CPI
16,989
8,337
5,006
765
-271
575
1,975 -1,620
535
5,889
2,728
2,747
923
1,267
1,568
1,936 -3,361
-1,051
Core CPI
3.8
2.4
3.0
2.1
2.9
3.2
3.1
3.2
2.7
2.4
2.3
1.9
1.8
1.5
1.6
1.2
1.2
0.9
Sources: Bank of Thailand (BOT), Ministry of Commerce (MOC), University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce (UTCC),
Office of Industrial Economics (OIE), Office of Agricultural Economics (OAE)
บริการทุกระดับประทับใจ
■ Key economic figures in May13
reaffirmed that the Thai
economy was experiencing a
slowing momentum
■Private spending decelerating
as effects of stimuli fading
Exports still lackluster as the
global economy remained weak
■Imports contracted led by a
contraction in auto parts and
raw material imports
■Current account still in deficit as
outward remittances
countervailing May13 slight
trade surplus
■May13 inflation remained benign
because of a base effect
K
EXCELLENCE
Economic Condition Highlights: May 2013
May13 BSI rose on weakening Baht, while CCI declined
due to household's financial constraints
ธนาคารกสิกรไทย
开泰银行 KASIKORNBANK
May13 private consumption and investment slowed
due mainly to the fading impact of government stimuli
90
85
& 80
*
75
70
53.9 60
55
50
45
82.5 40
35
30
May-11 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-13 May-13
Consumer Confidence Index (CCI)
Business Sentiment Index (BSI)
May13 foreign tourist arrivals were still well above
previous years
BSI
No. of Foreign Tourist Arrivals
(Thousand)
2,800
2,395
2.300
1,890
1,819
1.800
1,780
1,300
800
Jan
Apr
ايال
-2010
2011
Oct
.2012
2013
Sources: BOT, MOC, UTCC, OIE
% YoY
Export Value (USD Million)
400%
200%
0.9%
0%
-0.2%
-3.3%
-5.8%
-1.4%
-12.2%
-200%
PCI
PII
4Q12
1Q13
■Apr-13
Passenger Commercial Imports of Imports of
Car Sales Car Sales Capital Goods Consumer
Goods
■May-13
May13 exports contracted due to sluggish global
demand and loss of competitiveness on rice exports
25,000
20,000
15.000
10.000
5,000
40%
30%
20%
10%
ge
59% 0%
-10%
+-20%
May-11 Sep-11 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-12 Jan-13 May-13
Exports
% YoY for Exports
บริการทุกระดับประทับใจ
Exports (excluding gold)
% YoY for Exports exc Gold
104
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