Investor Presentaiton
Diversification Into Higher Risk Liabilities Hurts the Risk Profile
Case Study: Variable Annuities w/ Living Benefits
(2006-2009)
Unhedged market guarantees ballooned as equity markets and
interest rates declined in 2008
Living Benefit Guarantees Above Account Value¹
Case Study: Long-Term Care (LTC)
(2014-2018)
LTC carriers had to increase reserves as people entered nursing
homes earlier and stayed longer than expected
Select Example of GAAP LTC Reserve Strengthening
Case Study: Secondary Guarantee Universal Life
(2020-2022)
Fewer policyholders than expected lapsed on guaranteed UL,
translating to higher-than-expected life insurance payouts
ULSG Industry Lapse rates³
5%
4%
29%
S&P 500
1%
2006
2007
2008
2009
~8% of LTC
Reserves
Company went from
'A-' S&P rating in 2014
to unrated today²
~2% of LTC
Reserves
~1% of LTC
Reserves
2014 2015 2016 2017
2018
History does not repeat, but it rhymes
~4% lapse rates assumed in pricing
2.2%
2.0%
1.5%
2019
2020
2021
1. Living Benefit net amount at risk (NAR) as a percentage of living benefit account value. Calculated as median for Hartford, Manulife, Prudential, Jackson, Lincoln, AEGON, Brighthouse, AXA and Voya as available. 2. S&P insurer financial strength rating as of year-end for select U.S. insurance company. 3. Statutory
non-death release of reserves divided by beginning of period ULSG stat reserves. Includes Prudential, Lincoln National, John Hancock (Manulife), Brighthouse, Transamerica (Aegon).
ATHENE
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