Investor Presentation
Interest Rate Sensitivity
NET INTEREST INCOME SENSITIVITY
An immediate and sustained +100 bps parallel
shift would have a negative impact on annual
net interest income of $126 million for Year 1
and a positive impact of $191 million for Year 2
Canada
POLICY RATE CHANGE AND OUTLOOK
Change During
BNS Fiscal Quarters
Current
Expected Increase
Country
Q1/22
Q2/22
QTD
Q3/222
+75 bps
Policy
Rate
1.00%
From Current Policy
Rate To Dec 31, 20223
+150 bps
•
Above estimates assume a static balance sheet
and no management actions¹
US
+25 bps
+50 bps
1.00%
+150 bps
Mexico
+75 bps
+100 bps
+50 bps
7.00%
+150 bps
Colombia
+150 bps
+200 bps
6.00%
+200 bps
Peru
Chile
+150 bps
+150 bps
+50 bps
5.00%
+75 bps
+275 bps
+150 bps
+125 bps
8.25%
INTEREST RATE ENVIRONMENT2
Canada & U.S. Interest Rate Environment (%)
Mexico & Chile Interest Rate Environment
3.5
3.0
10.0
2.5
8.0
2.0
6.0
1.5
4.0
1.0
0.5
2.0
0.0
0.0
May-19
Nov-19
May-20
Nov-20
May-21
Nov-21
May-22
May-19
BoC Overnight Rate
Fed Funds Rate
CAD 5-Yr Swap Rate
USD 5-Yr Swap Rate
(%)
Nov-19
May-20
Nov-20
May-21
Nov-21
May-22
Bank of Mexico Overnight Rate
MXN 5-Yr Swap Rate
Bank of Chile Monetary Policy Rate
CLP 5-Yr Swap Rate
1 Additional detail regarding non-trading interest rate sensitivity can be found on page 36 of the Management's Discussion & Analysis in the Bank's Second Quarter
2022 Report to Shareholders, available on http://www.sedar.com
2 As of May 23, 2022
3 Source: Scotia Economics. US and Canada as at April 12, 2022 forecast, Pacific Alliance countries as at May 13, 2022 forecast
56View entire presentation