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Investor Presentaiton

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION Slide 14 - Growth potential across net-zero pathways 1. Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 1.5°C Scenario Explorer and Data, average of IPCC scenarios that are net zero by 2050; hydrogen as secondary energy plus additional 10EJ H2 feedstock (Hydrogen Council); CCS is average of energy that is combined with CCS reported in IPCC scenarios that are net zero by 2050. For biofuels, the IPCC data mentioned as liquid biomass use as secondary energy was analyzed. As IPCC only provides oil and gas primary energy, an analysis on the ratio of feedstock versus fuel was used to estimate the size of the global chemicals market, separate from an oil-fuels market and a natural gas-fuels market. Volumes associated with oil and natural gas that have CCS are part of both the oil and gas value chain, as well as the CCS value chain. 2. Potential market size figures: ExxonMobil analysis of Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) 1.5 scenario explorer and data on Lower 2°C scenarios for CO2, wind, solar, H2, nuclear, biofuels, and fuels. Volumes and prices in 2050 in the Lower 2°C scenarios were used, where available, to calculate an estimate of the market revenue. For CCS, estimate assumes capture from fossil sources only (~80%). For H2, the highest and lowest outliers for market revenue in the Lower 2°C scenarios were excluded. For Chemicals, ExxonMobil analysis of current market data from Statista 2020 Report on Chemical Industry Worldwide, and the IEA Sustainable Development Scenario data for petrochemical feedstock growth to 2050. Slide 15 - Growing value in a net-zero future 1. Modeling assumptions include: (1) current prices for Brent and Henry Hub decline to conform with IEA NZE published prices by 2025 and the price path. is linear between IEA NZE published prices by decade thereafter, (2) chemicals margins decline over time partially offset by inflation, (3) refining margins decline consistent with the change in oil demand under IEA NZE, (4) Low Carbon Solutions investments attract reasonable returns based on historical Company averages for similar business lines and products, (5) market position as a percentage of demand under IEA NZE for current business (Upstream, F&L, Chemicals) and new products (biofuels, hydrogen, and carbon capture. and storage) is in line with the Company's current market positions in existing businesses, (6) investment to abate estimated GHG emissions from remaining Upstream, F&L, and Chemicals businesses by 2050, (7) annual inflation of 2.5%, (8) total capital expenditures held approximately constant near 2020 trailing 5-year average through 2050. The statements and figures contained in this section are hypothetical in nature, and do not constitute a forecast of future Company performance. Price and margin assumptions used in IEA NZE Modeling Brent Price 2021$/bbl Refining Margins 2021$/bbl 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2010 Gas Price 2021$/mmbtu 2020 2030 2040 2050 Chemicals PE Margins 2021$/ton 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 91
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