Investor Presentaiton
40%
Current account balance, as % of GDP
30% Tourism revenues on the rise
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
Strong FDI pattern drives trade deficit; Services and remittances compensating c.70%
-30% Trade
Deficit
-40%
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Goods, net
Transfers, net
Source: GeoStat, NBG, G&T Research
Trade deficit down on the back of
lower consumer goods imports
30%
20% 10%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
Jan-14
Mar-14
29%
20%
6% 8%
13%
2%
2%
May-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
Nov-14
Source: GeoStat; excluding one-offs
14%
9%
Jan-15
Mar-15
May-15%
-
Services, net
CA deficit
Income, net
net FDI
Remittances
2015F
Tourism remains resilient
Trade Deficit mainly driven by FDI
70% of Trade Deficit is financed by services exports (mainly tourism, with
strong growth potential) and remittances (diversified by countries)
1.0
20%
Trade deficit, % change, y/y
19% 20%
Tourist arrivals
160
0.8
0.5
9%
سلالة
9%11%
0.3
0.0
Nuwith
Remittances
15%
120
10%
80
5%
40
0%
0
-0.3
-5%
0%
-40
-7% -0.5
-10%
-11%
-80
-18%
-28%
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Holding company of BANK OF GEORGIA
BGEO www.bgeo.com
GROUP
November 2015
Sep-15
International arrivals, mn
% change, y/y
Source: GNTA
Remittances down from Russia and Greece
Inflow, US$ mn
% change, y/y
Source: NBG
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
-32.9% -20%
-40%
Aug-15
Sep-15
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