Investor Presentation 2020
Domestic Macroeconomic Indicators
Investor Presentation 2020 | stc group
GDP & Government Budget:
Data on 2019, real GDP showed that the economy expanded by 0.3% (Y-o-Y). During
2019, the oil sector declined by 6% (31% share of GDP), whilst non-oil GDP rose by 4%
(non-oil private sector GDP was up 4.1% and government sector was up by 4.4%).
Saudi Unemployment Rate (15+):
GaStat's latest labor market release for Q3 2019 shows that unemployment
declined to 12%, down from 12.3% in Q2 2019. Male unemployment declined to
5.8%, down from 6% in Q2 2019, and female unemployment was also down from
31.1 to 30.8%, the lowest in 3 years.
Bn (SAR)
3,500
2,949 2,974
3,000
2,760 2,800 2,836
25%
2,517
2,582
2,454
2,419
2,500
1,981
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
13.2% 33.0% 33.1% 32.7%
31.0% 30.9% 31.1% 30.9%
32.5% 31.7% 31.1% 30.8%
34%
12.8%
12.9%
12.9%
12.8%
12.8% 12.8%
12.8%
28%
12.7%
12.7%
15%
12.4%
12.5%
22%
12.3%
12.0%
16%
12.0%
5%
11.6% 7.2%
7.4%
7.4% 7.5%
7.6%
7.6%
7.5% 6.6%
6.6%
10%
6.0%
5.8%
11.2%
4%
-5%
Q1
2017
Q2 Q3. Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019
Q3
0
-15%
2010 2011 2012
2013
2014 2015 2016
2017 2018 2019
Nominal GDP (SAR)
Nominal GDP % (Change)
Real GDP (% Change)
*Source: GASTAT
According to the newly announced budget for the year of 2020, total expenditure is budgeted at
SAR 1,020 trillion ($272 billion), a slight fall in spending that reversed three years of expenditure
hikes aimed at spurring growth. Yet, the Kingdom continues to implement its Vision Realization
Programs (VRPs) for the Saudi Vision 2030 aiming to achieve higher sustainable economic
growth with a focus on growing non-oil GDP sector.
*Source: GaStat
Total Unemployment Rate
Consumer Price Index:
Male
Female
The general consumer price index (CPI) registered a Y-o-Y decline of 0.1% in Q4
2019 and an increase of 0.3% compared to the third quarter of 2019 (with
communication sector registering a Y-o-Y decrease of 0.2%).
1.481.171.171.26
2.522.221.93
2.76
2.09 2.1 2.21
Budget
Projections
SAR
2020
2021
2022
Total Revenue
833
839
863
Total Expenditure
1,020
990
955
Budget Deficit
(187)
(151)
(92)
Debt
754
848
924
% GDP
26%
28%
29%
Government Reserves
346
280
265
*Source: MoF
4
30-Mar-15
30-Jun-15
*Source: Bloomberg
30-Sep-15
31-Dec-15
31-Mar-16
-0.09
-0.75
-1.4
2.1
30-Jun-16
30-Sep-16
31-Dec-16
31-Mar-17
30-Jun-17
0.96
0.
0.660.47-0.761.14
30-Sep-17
31-Dec-17
31-Mar-18
30-Jun-18
30-Sep-18
31-Dec-18
31-Mar-19
30-Jun-19
30-Sep-19
31-Dec-19
stcView entire presentation