Investor Presentaiton
National Economic Recovery Continue to Accelerate
8,0
Strong GDP Growth¹
6,0
4,0
2,0 3,827 3,7431
QoQ
-YoY
7,07
5,02 5.01
5,05
4,01
4,01
4,21
4,20
3,14
3,19
3,09
3,06
B.31
1,5506
7388,36) (1,816,30) (1,788,41) (1,68) 52 (1,742,41) (0,42 0,96)
0,04
0,0
-2,0
(2,07) (1,73)
(0,16)
-4,0
-6,0
-8,0
Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3
2014
2015
2016
Q3
2017
(419)
3,72
(0.96)
5,72
5,01
1,81
Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Favourable GDP Growth Compared to Peers²
10,00 % yoy
7,40
6,70
Indonesia's economic recovery momentum has continued in 2022, with the economy
growing 5.31% (yoy), up significantly from 3.70% (yoy) in 2021. Solid economic
growth in 2022 was supported by improving domestic economic activity along with
the increase in social mobility which further boost consumption and investment, as
well as strong export performance. Looking ahead, robust economic growth in 2023
is projected in the 4.5-5.3% range on the back of increasing domestic demand in
the form of household consumption and investment. The latest projection is in line
with increasing public mobility after the Government fully repealed community
activity restrictions (PPKM), a promising business outlook, increasing foreign direct
investment inflows, as well as the ongoing completion of national strategic projects.
0,36 In terms of spending, solid economic growth was supported in the reporting period
by nearly all GDP components. Household consumption grew 4.93% (yoy) in
response to greater mobility compared to 2021 (2.02% yoy). after the Government
gradually eased the community activity restrictions (PPKM). Export growth remained
strong at 16.28% (yoy) compared to 17.95 growth in 2021, driven by continued
strength of demand from Indonesia's major trading partners, notwithstanding the
limited effect of geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine. In the meantime,
investment growth has slowed by 3.07% year on year due to a decline in building
investment, despite strong non-construction investment performance.
Economic improvements remained strong in nearly all economic sectors in 2022.
The growth is primarily driven by the Manufacturing Industry, Transportation and
Warehouse, as well as Wholesale and Retail Trade. Spatially, solid national economic
growth in 2022 was supported by all regions, led by Sulawesi-Maluku-Papua,
followed by Java, Bali-Nusa Tenggara, Kalimantan and Sumatra.
5,80
5,00
5,30
2023 Growth Projection *)
0,00
3,20
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Institutions
GDP growth
-5,00
2023 Budget
5.3
Bank Indonesia
4.5-5.3
-10,00
Bulgaria
India
Colombia
Indonesia
Consensus Forecast (March 2023)
4.5
-15,00
Philippines
World Bank (GEP, January 2023)
4.8
2.
1. Source: Central Bureau of Statistics of Indonesia (BPS), ** Including non-profit household consumption
Source: World Economic Outlook Database - July 2022; * indicates estimated figure
*) Consensus Forecast number will be given later
IMF (January 2023)
4.8
ADB (Asian Development Outlook, December 2022)
4.8
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