Bank of Ireland Q1 2020 IMS Presentation
2020 outlook
Profitability
Bank of Ireland Q1 2020 IMS Presentation
COVID-19 is having a material impact on 2020 results:
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Lower business activity impacting gross lending volumes, 2020 new lending
could be between 50% - 70% of 2019 volumes (€16.5bn)
NIM to decline reflecting low interest rate environment and growth in liquid
assets
Business income expected to be 30% - 40% lower due to reduced
economic activity
Macroeconomic outlook remains uncertain with expected increased
impairment loan loss experience over the course of 2020
2020 costs expected to be lower than 2019, in line with previous guidance
Asset Quality
Mortgage portfolios 56% of Group loan book; average LTV of 60%
>80% of the Group loan book is secured
Strong track record on credit risk management; lowest NPE ratio of any Irish bank
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Capital
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Strong capital position; Q1 CET1 ratio 13.5% (regulatory 14.4%)
Flexibility of easing of capital buffers is a helpful contingency
In a range of scenarios, fully loaded CET1 ratio would remain above our previous
minimum CET1 regulatory capital requirement of 11.45%
No dividend deduction in Q1, aligned to ECB recommendations
Bank of Ireland
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