Investor Presentaiton
ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO RECOVER FROM THE IMPACT OF COVID-19
Economic activity and the labour market have rebounded relatively
quickly from the COVID-19 related fall in June 2020. GDP ended the
year 1% lower, and is now expected to return to pre-COVID levels by
Q1 2021.
Relatively good health outcomes alongside significant support have
aided the rebound - though intermittent localised shutdowns and a
closed international border have led to elevated uncertainty.
• While in aggregate the recovery has been strong, areas of stress
remain, particularly in sectors which see impact from travel
restrictions or changes to spending patterns.
Interest rates remain low but some fiscal support will wind back.
Offsetting some of the pull-back in support to households will be the
savings buffers built up with earlier support.
INCOMES HAVE SEEN SIGNIFICANT POLICY SUPPORT²
(%)
GDP ENDED THE YEAR 1% LOWER¹
(Ppt)
32101234
GDP
(Ppt)
Consumption
Dwelling Investment
Non-mining Investment
Mining Investment
Public Demand
INCREASED SAVINGS HAVE BUILT A BUFFER³
Exports
Imports
-1
-2
-3
-4
3210T234
(%)
15
15
25
Net Saving Ratio
Gross Saving Ratio
20
10
10
15
5
5
10
0
0
имит
5
-5
-5
0
Non-labour income contribution
Income tax
Compensation of Employees
Other income payable
-10
-10
-5
2006
2009
2012
2015
2018
2021
1989
1993
1997
2001
2005
2009
2013 2017
2021
Source: ABS, NAB. Data shows year-ended contributions to December quarter 2020
(2) Source: ABS, NAB. Year-ended growth. Data to December quarter 2020
(3)
Source: ABS, NAB. Data to December quarter 2020
105
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Australia
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