Investor Presentaiton
HOWEVER, THE REMOVAL OF THE SUBSIDY WILL TEMPORARILY
INCREASE INFLATION
Inflation will increase in H2 2023, before decreasing
below 20 percent in 2024...
...as the financing gap, and hence reliance on
inflationary CBN financing, decreases
Percent of estimated revenues
35 Percent
30
30
25
25
20
20
15
10
5
120
Ways and Means
100
financing if subsidy had
continued
Inflation forecast
80
Jan-23
Feb-23
Mar-23
Apr-23
May-23
NIGERIA
THE WORLD BANK
IBRD ⚫IDA | WORLD BANK GROUP
Sources: NBS and World Bank estimates
Jun-23
Jul-23
Aug-23
Sep-23
Oct-23
Nov-23
Dec-23
Jan-24
Feb-24
CBN inflation target (6-9 percent)
Apr-24
Mar-24
May-24
Jun-24
Jul-24
Aug-24
Sep-24
Oct-24
Nov-24
Dec-24
60
Financing
gap
40
20
0
2023
2024
Sources: World Bank and CBN.
2025
29
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