Investor Presentaiton
Provisions for expected credit loss.
Key ratios
Sep-21 Mar-22 Sep-22
Provisions to gross loans (bps)
70
65
62
Stage 3 CAP
■Stage 1 CAP
■ Stage 3 IAP
Total provisions for expected credit losses1 ($m)
■Overlay
■Stage 2 CAP
Impaired asset provisions to impaired assets (%)
54
48
48
COVID-19
6,159
Collectively assessed provisions to credit RWA (bps)
117
116
116
708
Expected credit loss¹ (ECL) ($m)
$1.6bn in provisions above the
base case economic scenario
4,625
2,983
Credit quality
6,680
3,922
171
4,999
Overlays reduced
1,032
4,675
4,625
as some factors
647
now reflected in
modelled
700
1,136
provision
788
outcomes
841
818
2,247
791
1,601
Reported
probability-weighted ECL
100%
base case ECL
100%
downside ECL
1,578
1,685
1,258
Higher stage 2
reflecting changes
in modelled
provision
outcomes
Base case
Downside
Forecasts for base case
economic scenario²
Trough/
1,561
1,131
2022
2023
peak³
989
943
947
Small decrease,
GDP growth
3.4%
1.0%
(6%)
mainly in
institutional
832
Unemployment
Residential property prices
3.1%
(6.5%)
4.4%
(7.8%)
11%
611
412
501
452
exposures
(27%)
Sep-19
Sep-20
Sep-21
Mar-22
Sep-22
1 Excludes provisions for debt securities. 2 Forecast date is 19 September 2022. 3 These KEls represent trough or peak values that characterise the scenarios considered in setting downside severity.
70
Westpac Group 2022 Full Year Results Presentation & Investor Discussion Pack
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