Investor Presentaiton
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION
Slide 48 - Executing competitively advantaged projects
1. Capex displayed at midpoint of $21-24 billion range for 2022 and midpoint of
$20-25 billion range for 2023-2027. Committed includes Capex associated
with executing capital projects and maintenance / drilling for existing facilities.
Lower emission includes Capex associated with reducing emissions from
existing operations and new projects and to grow the Low Carbon Solutions
business. Pre-FID includes Capex associated with activities to mature capital
projects ahead of a final investment decision, exploration activities, and
potential risked acquisitions. Short cycle includes Capex associated with
unconventionals.
Slide 49 - Delivering leading earnings growth
1. 2021 $60 Brent, adjusted for inflation; 10-year average Downstream and
Chemical margins refer to the average of annual margins from 2010-2019;
2019 earnings excluding asset management and tax items. See reconciliation
on page 82.
2. Structural cost reductions factor represents the earnings impact of structural
cost reductions. Volumes factor represents the earnings impact from changes
in volumes at 2022 unit profitability. The Mix factor is the remainder, and
includes the impact of new projects on mix and yield, and nominal price
inflation from the Upstream; offset by operating cost inflation and base
decline.
Slide 50 - Delivering leading cash flow growth
1. 2021 $60 Brent, adjusted for inflation; 10-year average Downstream and
Chemical margins refer to the average of annual margins from 2010-2019;
2019 earnings excluding asset management and tax items. See reconciliation
on page 82. Expectation to lead in growth potential is based on ExxonMobil
Company plan at consensus oil price estimates, and Bloomberg consensus
estimates for Chevron, Shell, BP, and TotalEnergies from 2022-2027 versus
2019; for 2019, competitor data estimated on a consistent basis with
ExxonMobil and based on public information.
Slide 51 - Lowering breakevens
1. 2021 Breakeven based on cash flow from operations and asset sales,
excluding working capital, with actual 2021 Downstream and Chemical
margins and gas prices adjusted to average levels. Dividends to shareholders
and additions to PP&E, net investments and advances, and other financing
items are subtracted. The PP&E / I&A factor includes changes in non-
controlling interests and dividends to minority interests. The remainder is
divided by an assumption of a $475 million change in after-tax earnings for
every $1/bbl change in oil price and subtracted from 2021 Brent price to
estimate the 2021 breakeven. Average Downstream and Chemical margins
reflect annual historical averages for the 10-year period from 2010-2019. We
assume $3/mmbtu Henry Hub gas prices for adjustment.
2. For all price point comparisons, unless otherwise indicated, we assume
$3/mmbtu Henry Hub gas prices. All crude and natural gas prices for future
years are adjusted for inflation from 2021. Brent breakeven and gas prices are
in 2021 dollars, adjusted for inflation. Downstream and Chemical margins
reflect annual historical averages for the 10-year period from 2010-2019. Any
decisions on future dividend levels are at the discretion of the Board of
Directors. This chart assumes dividends are held flat relative to 4Q21 levels. It
also assumes the $475 million change in after-tax earnings for every $1/bbl
change in oil price increases over time in 2022-2027.
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