Investor Presentaiton
Investor Presentation - First half 2022
Danske Bank
Overall strong credit quality in portfolios exposed to current macro developments
CRE: Generally low exposure to property development
activities
DKK 301 bn in gross exposure and ECL ~1%
Agriculture: Well-provisioned agriculture book
DKK 66 bn in gross exposure of which 51% RD and
average stage 3 coverage ratio of 81% in Nordics
Segment gross exposure
Retail customers: Strong household finances and
mortgage back-book mainly fixed rates for +5 years
48% of RD back-book are fixed-rate mortgages, and of
the variable rates ~70% are fixed for 5 years
RD back-book
Avg. LTV RD-retail
Segment gross exposure
■ Non-residential
■ Residential
Property dev.
55%
41%
Country gross exposure
Crops
Dairy
Pig breeding
■ Mixed operations
4%
34%
48%
37%
18%
15%
34%
Country gross exposure
54%
46%
•
•
•
•
47%
27%
13%
7% 6%
■ DK ■SE - NO ▪ FI ■ LC&I / Other
Historical lending growth modest (-3% 3Y-CAGR in
non-resi. since 01-19, +3% in resi.] given caps and
concentration limits within sub-segments and
markets, as well as for single-names, limiting
downside risks
Due to our conservative approach, our SE exposure
has remained stable, despite market growth, and
book is well-diversified with lower concentration risk
over the past years
The group's credit underwriting standards maintain
strong focus on cash flows, interest rate sensitivity,
LTV and the ability to withstand significant stress.
PMAs of DKK 1.4 bn made to cover uncertainties
regarding the affect of rapid interest rate increases
and macroeconomic situation
•
•
•
0%
60%
14%
24%
0%
50%
100%
■ DK - SE ■ NO ■ Fl
LC&I / Other
Fixed F5s Other
■LTV Home equity
The credit quality of the portfolio has improved over
the past few years, recovering from legacy
exposures from the financial crisis
The current credit risk appetite takes into account
the volatility of the sector and remains in place.
Furthermore, the group maintains strong
underwriting standards on LTV, interest-only loans
and interest rate sensitivity
Post-model adjustments of DKK 1 bn have been
made for potential future portfolio detoriation due to
uncertainties such as African Swine Fewer (ASF),
Chinese imports and the RU/UA war
•
•
•
Average LTVs have been decreasing over the past
year supported by increasing house prices
Affordability measures in general look strong, and
both affordability and debt-to-income (DTI) levels
remain stable overall
Portfolio uncertainty risks are being mitigated by
continuous monitoring and review of underwriting
standards covering interest rate-related stress of
affordability and other measures
Low near-term refinancing risk on RD flex loans.
Post-model adjustments related to personal
customers total DKK 1.5 bn
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