Investor Presentaiton
05
/OPERATING ENVIRONMENT
Operating environment characterised by currency depreciation and rising inflation, however we
remain well positioned to navigate these challenges
GDP growth rates
Inflation Rates
10.0%
8.0%
7.5%
4.7%
6.4%
80.0%
70.0%
69.4%
4.6%
6.0%
5.9%
60.0%
4.9%
4.5%
5.5%
4.0%
4.8%
50.0%
4.6%
40.0%
2.9%
3.9%
2.0%
30.0%
0.0%
20.0%
-0.3%
5.6%
-2.0%
-4.0%
-0.3%
-2.8%
10.0%
3.2%
0.0%
2.5%
-5.0%
-10.0%
-6.0%
2020
2021
2022e
2023f
-20.0%
Kenya
Uganda
Tanzania
Source: Standard Bank Reseach
Central Bank Rates
20.0%
15.0%
15.0%
10.0%
7.0%
7.0%
5.0%
5.0%
0.0%
South Sudan
15.0%
7.0%
6.5%
15.0%
10.0%
8.75%
5.0%
5.0%
2020
2021
2022
Kenya
Uganda
Tanzania
South Sudan
2020
Kenya
Uganda
14.0%
5.7%
4.2%
2.9%
10.2%
9.1%
4.8%
-11.6%
2022
2021
Tanzania
South Sudan
GDP - Oil investments likely to boost growth in Uganda,
rebounding Agriculture in Kenya, pro business approach in
Tanzania and rise in global oil prices to boost growth in South Sudan
☛ Inflationary pressures due to:
Rise in prices of oil and other imported goods as a result of
disruption in global supply chains
•Depreciation of local currencies against the US dollar
☛ Increase in Policy rates for Kenya and Uganda while South
Sudan reduced its policy rate to 12% in 2022
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