Investor Presentaiton
NEW ZEALAND
NZ GROWTH SOLID, UNEMPLOYMENT BELOW 5YR AVERAGE¹
STRONG MIGRATION: MANY GO TO AUCKLAND - INADEQUATE
SUPPLY RESPONSE LEADS TO HOUSE PRICE GROWTH²
(%)
NZ GDP (yoy)
7
(%)
NZ Unemployment rate
10
Number (6 mth average)
7000
5
8
6000
5000
3
6
Net long-term, permanent migration
- New Zealand (LHS)
4000
1
4
3000
2000
-1
2
1000
Number (6 mth average)
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
-3
0
Dec 00 Dec 05 Dec 10 Dec 15 Sep 04
Sep 09 Sep 14
0
New building consents - 400
Auckland Region (RHS)
-1000
200
Mar 09
Sep 10
Mar 12
Sep 13
Mar 15
Sep 16
FONTERRA MILK PRICE FORECASTS (INCLUDING DIVIDEND)
9
$'000s
1200
8
7
6
5
1000
800
600
Average House Prices - Auckland City
4
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017 (FC)
400
Fonterra milk price (Inc Dividend)³
Average cost of production (per kg)4
Mar 09
Sep 10
Mar 12
Sep 13
Mar 15
Sep 16
124
(1) Source: NAB, Econdata DX/Statistics NZ
(2) Source: Econdata DX, Thomson Reuters Datastream (Statistics New Zealand, QV)
Source: Fonterra
(3)
(4)
Source: DairyNZ. Cost of production includes interest and rent, RBNZ FSR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
Group
Australian Banking
NZ Banking
NAB Wealth
MOCKREL
HILL
Group Asset Quality
Capital and Funding
Environmental, Social and Governance
Economic Outlook
GLOSSARY
CKRE
National
Australia
Bank
National
Australia
BankView entire presentation