Investor Presentaiton
Declining and aging population
160000
2023-2100年中国总人口预测(万人)
China Total Population (10K)
Year
H
M
80000
2030
138675
137399
L
136055
60000
2050
128787
123034
117239
40000
2070
108216
97605
87845
2100
80311
62524
47940
20000
资料来源:育娲人口
0
2023 2028 2033 2038 2043 2048 2053
——高预测
2058 2063 2068 2073 2078 2083 2088 2093 2098
中预测——低預測
•
China's population started declining from 2022
Working age population decrease -0.75%; population
under 16 years old decreases -2.6%, while above 60
years old population increases +4.7%
Key Implication:
-
-
-
The annual average decline of 1.73% in China's working-
age population sets the scene for much lower economic
growth
As the young population declines, domestic demand for
consumption may weaken.
More resources to provision of health, medical and aged-
care services to meet the demands of an increasingly
elderly population.
The impact of China's demographic change will not be
limited to its own geographic boundaries.
140000
120000
100000
60.00%
50.00%
20.00%
10.00%
15
November 14, 2023
O Valmet | Investor site visit to Jiading, Shanghai
Yuwa reserch
低预测下中国65岁以上老年人口占比预测(%)
70.00%
40.00%
卡& 有娲人口研究
30.00%
0.00%
2023
2028 2033 2038
2043.
2048 2053 2058 2063 2068
2073 2078 2083 2088 2093 2098
——老年人口比例(%)
育娲人口研究
YuWa Population Research
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