Sustainable Development and Low Carbon Emission Strategies
METHODOLOGY:
The method used in this research is system dynamics modelling
General variables for forest management modelling
Value &
Parameter
Unit
Estimation Method
No
Variable name
Total Goss
Regional
1
Domestic
Product
41,362 (2010)
billion
Total GRDP data (BPS Papua
Barat 2010-2018)
RESILIENCE
DEVELOPM
SUSTAINABLE SMARTD
GRDP of forestry data (BPS)
Papua Barat 2010-2018)
Recapitulation of forest and
land cover (KLHK 2010-2018)
Emission Data x Emission
Factor (IPCC, 2006)
Estimation (1- Forestry
Percentage Emission/ Emission Target) x
Validation
AME = (Si - Ai)/ Ai x
100%
where AME is
absolute mean error,
A is actual value, and
S is the value of
simulation
(GRDP)
GRDP of
2
1,361 (2010)
billion
forestry sector
Deforestation
3
and
58,200 (2010)
ha
degradation
4
Emission
10,522,475.13
(2010)
26.30 (CM1) and
tonCO₂e
Forest
5
-18.43 (CM2)
Management
(2010)
Investment FractionView entire presentation