Cerberus Global NPL Fund, L.P.
Main Target Geographies
While Cerberus adopts an opportunistic approach to geographic focus, we believe the
opportunities are currently in Europe, China and Brazil
1 European Opportunity
Market Size (1)
€800 billion+
Key Drivers of Transaction Volume
>> Regulatory pressure (2)
>> Banks improving profitability (3)
>> Changes to foreclosure processes(4)
2 China Opportunity
Market Size (5)
$1.0 to $2.0
Proprietary and Confidential | Not for Further Distribution
Key Drivers of Transaction Volume
» Government Reforms and pressure (6)
>>
bal NPL FOwing NPL stock (7)
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(5) Source: China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) dataset, 2017; Citi Research, "China Banks," February 23, 2017.
(6) Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch, "No deleveraging, no new cycle," September 22, 2017.
(7) Source: China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) dataset, 2017.
(8) Source: Deloitte Analysis, Banco Central do Brasil and BNDES. February 2017.
(9) Source: World Bank WEO Dataset, December 22, 2017; Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, April, 2017.
3
Brazil Opportunity
24
Market Size (8)
$160 to $200 billion
(1) Source: PWC, "European Portfolio Advisory Group Market Update," April 2017.
(2) Source: European Commission, "Progress in the Reduction of Non-Performing Loans in Europe," January 18, 2018.; Citi Research, "ECB Reinforces NPL Guidance," October 6, 2017; European Central Bank,
"Addendum to the ECB Guidance to banks on non-performing loans," October 4, 2017.
(3) Source: European Banking Authority, "Risk Assessment of the European Banking System," November 2017.
(4) Source: PWC research, "The Italian NPL Market," December 2017.
Key Drivers of Transaction Volume (⁹)
>> Regulatory pressure
>>>
>> Strong banks
» Improving economic/political outlook
Fast foreclosure process
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