Solar Industry Update
$6.0
$5.0
System Price (2022 $/Wdc)
$2.0
$1.0
$0.0
$4.0
$3.2
$2.9
$3.3-
$3.0
$2.6 $2.8
BNEF
WoodMac/SEIA
Modeled
2022 Modeled, Reported, and
Quoted System Price From Various
Sources
•
NREL and LBNL PV system price ranges
generally overlap other sources.
• Across various sources, reported system
pricing is generally higher than modeled and
quoted system pricing.
NREL (MMP)
NREL (MSP)
EnergySage
Note: Some sources only report a range, which is represented by the error bars.
Residential
Quote
Reported
LBNL
Sunrun Sale Price
SunPower Rev./W
BNEF
$4.0
$1.2
$1.8
$1.7
$1.8 $1.6
$1.1 $1.0 $1.0
Wood Mac/SEIA
NREL (MMP)
NREL (MSP)
LBNL (≤100kW)
LBNL (>100kW)
BNEF (1-Axis)
Wood Mac/SEIA (1-Axis)
NREL (1-Axis, MMP)
NREL (1-Axis, MSP)
Sources: Barbose et al. 2022; Bolinger et al. 2022; Ramasamy et al. 2022; BNEF, "H1 2022 U.S. PV Market Outlook," April 2022; : Wood Mackenzie/SEIA: U.S. Solar Market
Insight: 2021 Year-in-Review, March 2022; EnergySage, Solar Marketplace Intel Report H1 2021 - H2 2022.
NREL 28
Modeled
Reported
Non-Residential
Modeled
Utility-scale
Reported
$0.9
$1.1
LBNLView entire presentation