Vale Investor Day Presentation Deck
47
3 Maximize flight-to-quality in Iron Ore
Decarbonization and portfolio
improvements lead to higher premiums for Vale
All-in
premiums¹
Market
environment
Vale's portfolio
I
■
I
2018
US$
~10/t
Chinese supply side reform
High steel margins
High availability of pellet
feed and pellets
▪ Flexibility to produce close
to 400 Mtpy
■
■
I
2021
US$
~6/t
Volatile iron ore price
High-availability of low
alumina products
High coke prices
Production of high-silica
products
▪ Low pellet feed availability
to produce pellets
■
Healthy steel margins
▪ Lower availability of low
alumina products
■
■
2023-26
I
US$
8-12/t
Higher volumes from
Northern System
Resumption of pelletizing
capacity
Ramp-up of briquette plants
2029+
US$
12-18/t
▪ Carbon pricing
▪ Transition to more direct
reduction demand
I
▪ Green briquettes over 50
Mtpy
Dry concentration
improving quality
Note: Considering different scenarios of steel production with steel margins ranging between US$25-100/t and carbon price ranging between US$0-60/t of CO₂eq. 1 Vale's iron ore weighted average premiums for the current and future
portfolio, including IOCJ, BRBF, pellets, briquettes and others, on top of 62% Fe benchmark index.
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