Barclays Capital 2010 Global Financial Services Conference
Action plans for lagging units - Insurance
Key highlights
■Q2 10 performance significantly impacted by bodily
injury reserving relating to prior period policies
Improved under-writing policies reducing risk and loss.
rates
■ Above market premium increases since Jan 09
The combination of higher premiums and refined risk
mix are improving the loss ratio of the business
Focus on cost reduction and improving jaws
Industry-wide personal injury claims trends²
%
150%
Loss rates
120%
90%
XRBS
Improved underwriting reducing loss rates1
New Business
Renewals
Combined
60%
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-09
Jan-10
May-10
Positive pricing actions ³ starting to feed through
Mkt. premium change index (Jan 2009 = 0%)
000s
%
I Number of Claims -Y-o-Y Change
700
20%
50%
DL
Churchill
Market
600
500
400
300
اااس
40%
10%
30%
0%
20%
10%
200
-10%
0%
2001-2002- 2003- 2004- 2005- 2006-2007- 2008-
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-09
Jan-10
May-10
02
03 04 05 06 07 08 09
20
1 Modelled loss rates based on Direct Line scored written loss rates. 2 Source: DWP CRU Database, Morgan Stanley Research
3 Source: Consumer Intelligence, DfT, NOP, Strategy team research & analysisView entire presentation