Investor Presentation
UNSUBSIDIZED SOLAR ECONOMICS SHOW THAT UTILITY-SCALE SOLAR IS
AMONG THE LOWEST COST SOURCES OF ENERGY GLOBALLY
Nextracker's segments are economically attractive
Rooftop Residential Solar
$117
Community and C&I Solar
$49
Solar PV - Utility Scale
$24
$96
Renewable
Energy
Solar PV + Storage - Utility Scale
$46
$102
Geothermal¹
$61
$102
Wind Onshore
$24
$75
Wind + Storage - Onshore
$42
Wind Offshore
$72
$114
$140
Gas Peaking²
$115
Conventional
Energy
Nuclear³
$314
$141
Coal5
$524
$68
Gas Combined Cycle³
$0
$39
$25
$101 $1166
$50
$75
$166
$1567
$150
$175
$282
$185
Nextracker segments
$221
$221
Source: Lazard Levelized Cost of Energy+ April 2023
$100 $125
Levelized cost ($/MWh)
$200
$225
$250
$275
$300
Note: Here and throughout this presentation, unless otherwise indicated, the analysis assumes 60% debt at an 8% interest rate and 40% equity at a 12% cost. See page titled "Levelized Cost of Energy Comparison-Sensitivity to Cost of Capital" for cost of capital sensitivities.
1.) Given the limited data set available for new-build geothermal projects, the LCOE presented herein represents Lazard's LCOE v 15.0 results adjusted for inflation.
2.) The fuel cost assumption for Lazard's unsubsidized analysis for gas-fired generation resources is $3.45/MMBTU for year-over-year comparison purposes. See page titled "Levelized Cost of Energy Comparison-Sensitivity to Fuel Prices" for fuel price sensitivities.
3.) Given the limited public and/or observable data set available for new-build nuclear projects and the emerging range of new nuclear generation strategies, the LCOE presented herein represents Lazard's LCOE v15.0 results adjusted for inflation (results are based on then-estimated costs of the Vogtle Plant and are U.S.-
focused).
4.) Represents the midpoint of the unsubsidized marginal cost of operating fully depreciated gas combined cycle, coal and nuclear facilities, inclusive of decommissioning costs for nuclear facilities. Analysis assumes that the salvage value for a decommissioned gas combined cycle or coal asset is equivalent to its
decommissioning and site restoration costs. Inputs are derived from a benchmark of operating gas combined cycle, coal and nuclear assets across the U.S. Capacity factors, fuel, variable and fixed operating expenses are based on upper- and lower-quartile estimates derived from Lazard's research. See page titled
"Levelized Cost of Energy Comparison-Renewable Energy versus Marginal Cost of Selected Existing Conventional Generation Technologies" for additional details.
5.) Given the limited public and/or observable data set available for new-build coal projects, the LCOE presented herein represents Lazard's LCOE v15.0 results adjusted for inflation. High end incorporates 90% carbon capture and storage ("CCS"). Does not include cost of transportation and storage.
6.) Represents the LCOE of the observed high case gas combined cycle inputs using a 20% blend of "Blue" hydrogen, (i.e., hydrogen produced from a steam-methane reformer, using natural gas as a feedstock, and sequestering the resulting CO2 in a nearby saline aquifer). No plant modifications are assumed beyond a 2%
adjustment to the plant's heat rate. The corresponding fuel cost is $5.20/MMBTU, assuming -$1.40/kg for Blue hydrogen.
7.) Represents the LCOE of the observed high case gas combined cycle inputs using a 20% blend of "Green" hydrogen, (i.e., hydrogen produced from an electrolyzer powered by a mix of wind and solar generation and stored in a nearby salt cavern). No plant modifications are assumed beyond a 2% adjustment to the
plant's heat rate. The corresponding fuel cost is $10.05/MMBTU, assuming -$4.15/kg for Green hydrogen.
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