Pricing and Liquidity of Fixed Income ETFs in the Covid-19 Crisis of 2020 slide image

Pricing and Liquidity of Fixed Income ETFs in the Covid-19 Crisis of 2020

Price Discovery: Intraday Intrinsic Value? ● ● What Is Intraday Intrinsic Value? Bottoms-up, bond-by-bond valuation, calculated throughout the day. 12-factor intraday bond valuation model developed by BlackRock in 2015. Intrinsic Value Offers an Intraday Estimate of ETF Premium/ Discount On March 24th: HYG traded at 2.4% closing premium to NAV, but only a 0.4% average intraday premium to Intrinsic Value. BlackRock Price (USD) 88 85 82 79 76 73 70 67 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% -2.0% -4.0% -6.0% -8.0% flow at T (right axis) H iShares HYG ETF P/D to NAV at T-1 iShares IV 3/2 3/3 3/4 3/5 3/6 3/9 3/10 3/11 3/12 3/13 3/16 3/17 3/18 3/19 ETF Price W 3/20 3/23 3/24 3/25 iShares HYG ETF P/D to iShares IV NAV at T-1 1,200 3/26 3/27 3/30 3/31 As of 6/26/2020. Source: BlackRock, Bloomberg and Refinitiv. 3/5 3/6 3/9 3/10 주 3/11 3/12 3/13 3/16 3/17 3/18 3/19 3/20 3/23 3/24 3/25 3/26 3/27 3/30 3/31 900 600 ICRMH0920U-1319728-5/13 300 0 (300) ETF b/a spread (right axis) 16 14 12 10 (600) (900) W 8 6 + NO 2 Primary Market Activity (million USD) b/a Spread (bps)
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