Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co Investment Banking
Illustrative Discounted Future Value
Pre - Unitholder Tax | SQ AMGP & PF AMGP | AR Base Case & AR Downside Volumes Case
SQ AMGP | AR Base Case
$31.08
$22.90
$18.23
2019E
$26.71
$19.70
$15.69
2019E
$37.69
Assumptions
$28.01
$22.47
2020E
SQ AMGP | AR Downside Volumes Case
$30.95
$23.04
$18.52
2020E
$44.70
$33.45
Source: Management projections and FactSet as of 8/30/2018.
Note: Valuation based on annual distributions.
$27.03
$17.281
2021E
$35.28
$26.48
$21.45
$17.28
2021E
Management projections | Valuation date as of 6/30/18
Future share price calculated at FY1 distributions divided by yield
Discounted to 6/30/18 at 10% cost of equity
0 Interim distributions discounted upon receipt to 6/30/18
Yield
4.0%
5.5%
7.0%
Current
AMGP Share
Price
Yield
4.0%
5.5%
7.0%
Current
AMGP Share
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PF AMGP | AR Base Case
$32.86
$27.59
$23.82
2019E
$30.15
$25.31
$21.85
537.33
PF AMGP | AR Downside Volumes Case
2019E
$31.55
$27.42
2020E
$32.13
$27.18
$23.65
2020E
CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT
SUBJECT TO CHANGE
$42.09
$35.78
$31.27
2021E
$32.83
$27.99
$24.53
2021E
TUDORPICKERING
HOLT&COI:
EVERGY INVESTMENTS
MERCHANT BANKING
Yield
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
Yield
5.0%
7.0%
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