Baird Investment Banking Pitch Book
GAS SALES FORECAST
PROJECTED GAS SALES BY INDEX
Index:
TCO
Chicago/MichCon
CGTLA
ANR SE
TGP-500L
NYMEX
DOM S
TETCO M2
Total
Index:
TCO
Chicago/MichCon
2018
CGTLA
ANR SE
TGP-500L
NYMEX
DOMS
TETCO M2
Weighted Average
BTU Uplift
Realized Price
Differential to Nymex
14%
21%
17%
18%
18%
10%
1%
100%
STRIP PRICING BY INDEX ($/MMBTU)
2018
2019
$2.56
$2.66
$2.69
$2.71
$2.75
$2.83
$2.32
$2.30
$2.68
$0.23
$2.91
$0.08
25%
18%
23%
16%
2%
16%
0%
0%
100%
2019
$2.43
$2.57
$2.69
$2.72
$2.73
$2.81
$2.30
$2.28
$2.63
$0.22
$2.85
$0.04
2020
Source: Antero Management. Based on strip pricing as of 12/31/2017.
19%
18%
19%
16%
14%
14%
1%
0%
100%
2020
$2.40
$2.58
$2.70
$2.75
$2.74
$2.82
$2.26
$2.23
$2.65
$0.25
$2.90
$0.08
2021
20%
17%
16%
14%
18%
8%
6%
0%
100%
2021
$2.43
$2.63
$2.74
$2.80
$2.77
$2.85
$2.27
$2.24
$2.65
$0.27
$2.92
$0.07
2022
17%
16%
14%
12%
16%
7%
11%
100%
2022
$2.47
$2.68
$2.89
$2.83
$2.81
$2.89
$2.31
$2.26
$2.66
$0.26
$2.92
$0.03
Avg
19%
18%
18%
15%
14%
11%
3%
2%
100%
Avg
$2.46
$2.63
$2.74
$2.76
$2.76
$2.84
$2.29
$2.26
$2.65
$0.25
$2.90
$0.06
14%
11%
15%
Index:
TCO
3%2%
18%
Chicago/MichCon
CGTLA
ANR SE
TGP-500L
NYMEX
DOM S
TETCO M2
19%
Confidential
18%
2018-22 Diff.
($0.38)
($0.21)
($0.10)
($0.08)
($0.08)
$0.00
($0.55)
($0.58)
=TCO
BAIRD
Chicago/MichCon
CGTLA
■ANR SE
TGP-500L
NYMEX
DOM S
TETCO M2
% Exposure
19%
18%
18%
15%
14%
11%
3%:
2%
Project Bronco | Page 14View entire presentation