Baird Investment Banking Pitch Book
2 AMGP PRECEDENT TRANSACTIONS ANALYSIS
($ in millions, except per unit data)
■ Given AMGP's 2018-2022 IDR CAGR of 42%, combined with AM's 2018-2022 distribution growth CAGR of 24%, Baird focused on higher
growth comparable transactions in deriving its range of multiples
Metric
■
Baird applied a range of normalized cash flow multiples (adjusting for a 1.1x coverage ratio) to derive a comparable transaction-based
valuation for AMGP
GP-Only Value / NTM Est. Normalized GP/IDR
Cash Flow @ 1.1x Coverage
AMGP NTM Est.
Post-Tax
IDR Cash Flow
@ 1.1x Coverage
$195
Implied AMGP Equity Value
Less: Series B Conversion Value
Value of GP Ownership /
NTM GP Cash Flow
(2)
@ 1.1x Coverage
High
Source: Antero management.
(1)
Represents NTM estimated post-tax IDR cash flow, adjusted for 1.1x coverage ratio at AM.
(2)
Based on GP cash flow multiples adjusted for 1.1x coverage in precedent transactions (see previous page).
(3) Represents estimated net debt and common shares outstanding as of September 30, 2018.
(4)
Represents 5.92% of equity value in excess of $2.0 billion.
Low
25.0x
(4)
Implied AMGP Equity Value to Common Shareholders
AMGP Common Shares Outstanding
Implied AMGP Common Share Price
(3)
30.0x
Less: Net Debt
Preliminary. Praft
(3)
Low
Implied AMGP
Valuation Range
$4,870
$4,870
(170)
BAIRD
$4,701
186.2
$25.24
High
$5,845
$5,845
(228)
$5,617
186.2
$30.16
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